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Why AGI is Not Coming Soon
AGI development will not be a sudden event but rather a gradual process requiring advancements in various areas such as learning from video, memory capabilities, reasoning, planning, and hierarchical representations. Each of these components will take time to develop individually and then to integrate into a cohesive system. It is estimated that it will take at least a decade, if not longer, to achieve AGI due to the complexities and unknown challenges that may arise in the process.