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Thomas Kelly
Political scientist and writer who researched archival materials to critique the classic study When Prophecy Fails and its role in cognitive dissonance theory.
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Nov 20, 2025
• 1h 12min
284: When Prophecy-Science Fails (w/Thomas Kelly)
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Thomas Kelly, a political scientist and writer, critiques the famed study When Prophecy Fails, exposing inaccuracies and biases in its portrayal of a UFO cult led by Dorothy Martin. He highlights how researchers like Festinger manipulated events to fit their cognitive dissonance theory. Kelly reveals the newly unsealed archives showing ethical issues in 1950s field research and questions the credibility of findings that have shaped our understanding of belief persistence. His insights challenge the legacy of this psychological cornerstone.
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