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Ryan Greenblatt
Chief scientist at Redwood Research and lead author on the paper Alignment Faking in Large Language Models. Thinks there’s a 25% chance that within four years, AI will be able to do everything needed to run an AI company.
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Jul 8, 2025
• 2h 51min
#220 – Ryan Greenblatt on the 4 most likely ways for AI to take over, and the case for and against AGI in <8 years
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Ryan Greenblatt, chief scientist at Redwood Research, discusses the alarming speed at which AI could soon automate entire companies. He predicts a 25% chance that AI will be capable of running a business solo in just four years. Greenblatt outlines four potential scenarios for AI takeover, including self-improvement loops that could rapidly outpace human intelligence. The conversation also tackles economic implications, misalignment risks, and the importance of governance to keep advanced AIs in check as their capabilities evolve.
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