Ozzie Gooen

Ozzie Gooen, founder of the Quantified Uncertainty Research Institute, delves into the fascinating world of AI safety and forecasting tools. He discusses the importance of high-quality discourse in tackling AI risks and the role of Bayesian modeling in decision-making. Ozzie shares insights on innovative software like Guesstimate and Metaforecast, enhancing prediction accuracy. The conversation touches on effective altruism, the ethical responsibilities within the community, and the philosophical implications of population ethics as AI takes on greater societal roles.

In this deep dive, Byrne Hobart, a finance newsletter writer, joins data scientist Vipul Naik, fintech entrepreneur Maomao Hu, crypto hedge fund partner Marcus Abramovich, and research president Ozzie Gooen. They dissect the astonishing collapse of FTX and the early warning signs that went unnoticed. The conversation covers ethical failings, the interplay between FTX and Alameda, and the future of effective altruism. Insights on risk-taking, accountability, and the emotional fallout of this financial catastrophe add depth to the analysis.