Europe’s chemical distribution sector is bracing for the impact of multiple geopolitical and economic challenges, including the Israel/Iran conflict.

- All Iran’s mono ethylene glycol (MEG), urea, ammonia and methanol facilities have been shut down

- For methanol this represents more than 9% of global capacity, for MEG it is 3%

- Brent crude spiked from $65 to almost $75/bbl, reports of attacks on gas fields and oil infrastructure

- If Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz this will severely disrupt oil and LNG markets

- Expect extended period of volatility and instability in the Middle East

- European distributors brace for a VUCA (Volatile, Uncertain, Complex, Ambiguous) world

- Suffer prolonged period of poor demand, in tandem with producers, with no sign of an upturn

- Global overcapacity driven by China, subsequent wave of production closures across Europe both a threat and opportunity for distributors

- Suppliers and customers turn to distributors to help navigate impact of tariffs and geopolitical disruption
Click here to download the 2025 ICIS Top 100 Chemical DIstributors list.

In this ICIS Think Tank podcast, Will Beacham interviews Dorothee Arns, director general of the European Association of Chemical Distributors and Paul Hodges, chairman of New Normal Consulting.

James Laxer

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