In this discussion, historian James Gelvin, known for his insights on the modern Middle East, delves into the evolving landscape of the region by 2026. He critiques U.S. foreign policy missteps, particularly the failures of the Obama and Trump administrations. Gelvin emphasizes the precarious balance of power between Iran and Saudi Arabia, dispelling myths of complete rapprochement. He also highlights the risks of waning U.S. influence, the dangers of neglecting human rights, and the impact of energy politics on regional stability, all underlined by historical patterns of hubris.