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James Fodor
Author of the blog post "Why I am Still Skeptical about AGI by 2030" critiquing mainstream EA narratives about AI capabilities and timelines.
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May 23, 2025
• 13min
“Why I am Still Skeptical about AGI by 2030” by James Fodor
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James Fodor, an author known for his critical insights on AI timelines, shares his skepticism about the belief that human-level AI will emerge by 2030. He argues against the mainstream narratives that have accelerated expectations since 2018. Fodor emphasizes the need for caution, calling attention to the lack of solid evidence backing rapid advancements. He critiques popular benchmarks and discusses the importance of real-world adoption rates, urging listeners to rethink their perceptions of AI's growth.
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