J. Bostock

J. Bostock, a contributor to LessWrong, explores a troubling reasoning flaw known as 'exhaustive free association,' frequently seen in rationalist communities. He illustrates how this pattern misleads by inducing false conclusions through incomplete logic. Bostock critiques superforecasters for underestimating AI risks and discusses the implications of exhaustive reasoning on welfare estimates. The episode dives into the persuasive nature of bad arguments and emphasizes the importance of challenging this reasoning style to enhance discourse.