Alan Hájek
Professor of philosophy at the Australian National University; expert on the philosophy of probability, Bayesianism, decision theory, expected value, and counterfactuals.
Best podcasts with Alan Hájek
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82 snips
Feb 25, 2025 • 3h 42min
#139 Classic episode – Alan Hájek on puzzles and paradoxes in probability and expected value
Alan Hájek, a Professor of Philosophy at the Australian National University, shares his expertise on the perplexities of probability and decision-making. He dives deep into the St. Petersburg paradox, questioning the logic behind infinite expected value despite finite outcomes. The conversation also touches on philosophical methods, the significance of counterfactuals in understanding decisions, and the challenges of assigning probabilities to unprecedented events. Join this intriguing exploration of common sense versus philosophical reasoning.
19 snips
Oct 28, 2022 • 3h 38min
#139 – Alan Hájek on puzzles and paradoxes in probability and expected value
In this engaging discussion, Alan Hájek, a philosophy professor at the Australian National University and expert on probability and decision theory, tackles the perplexing St. Petersburg paradox. He explores how traditional calculations of expected value suggest infinite earnings, despite the reality of finite payouts. The conversation dives into heuristics in philosophical inquiry, the complexities of unique events, and critiques of frequentism, challenging listeners to rethink their understanding of probability, decision-making, and moral implications.
