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"Rationality !== Winning" by Raemon

16 snips
Jul 28, 2023
The podcast explores the concept that rationality extends beyond winning, discussing the importance of feedback loops, applying rationality in specific domains, and avoiding generic self-help. It reflects on the Rationality movement and proposes refocusing on rationality as a professional tool. The speaker emphasizes the need for clear definitions and discusses the consequences of solely focusing on winning. They question the relationship between rationality, winning, and epistemics, highlighting the importance of appropriate cognitive algorithms and tool selection.
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INSIGHT

Rationality Is Not Just Winning

  • "Rationality is winning" is a trap that encourages overthinking in counterproductive ways.
  • Straw Vulcanism confuses rituals of logic with achieving real goals, which is not rationality.
INSIGHT

Multiple Paths to Winning

  • Rationality helps in choosing practices that actually work but mastering this skill can take years.
  • Winning can come through many paths, not all requiring deep rational analysis.
INSIGHT

Rationality Excels in Uncertainty

  • Rationality shines in novel or uncertain situations with scarce information and inadequate common wisdom.
  • The early COVID-19 pandemic highlighted rationalists' relative success in navigating uncertainty and lacking consensus.
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