Downside Risk, Investor Sentiment And Elliot Wave Theory With Stock Waves
May 26, 2023
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Zac Mannes from Stock Waves, an expert in Elliott Wave Theory, joins Garrett Patten from The Pragmatic Investor, who specializes in investor sentiment. They discuss how to forecast US stocks using Elliott Wave Theory and the importance of integrating fundamental and technical analysis. The duo emphasizes recognizing ideal setups and reveals potential downside risks in the market. They also delve into the impact of investor sentiment on trading strategies and explore Bitcoin's correlations with traditional assets like gold.
Elliott Wave Theory is vital for forecasting stock movements by correlating chart patterns with investor sentiment for contrarian opportunities.
Integrating both technical and fundamental analyses enables traders to identify high-quality setups based on market trends and stock health.
Deep dives
Understanding Elliott Wave Theory
Elliott Wave Theory is utilized as a primary methodology for technical analysis by examining specific chart patterns to forecast future price movements. The emphasis is on identifying repeating patterns that correlate with investor sentiment, which can lead to contrarian trading opportunities. This approach not only focuses on individual US stocks, but also includes broader market sector analysis through various weekly webinars. By intertwining Elliott Wave analysis with traditional technical analysis tools, such as moving averages and MACD divergence, traders can gain a comprehensive view of potential market movements.
Incorporating Fundamentals into Technical Analysis
While technical analysis is the core focus, fundamental analysis is also integrated into the trading strategy by examining the financial health of companies. Collaborations with analysts like Lynn Alden help bridge the gap between fundamental and technical assessments, allowing for a more nuanced trading strategy. The practice involves scanning for fundamentally sound stocks that align with positive technical setups, as this dual focus aims to identify more robust trading opportunities. Recognizing that significant news events can disrupt price patterns, the combination of sentiment from charts and fundamental data can often serve as a leading indicator.
Identifying Trading Opportunities
Finding good trading setups involves analyzing sector performance and identifying stocks that exhibit favorable chart patterns within those sectors. Regular sector reviews help pinpoint potential bullish or bearish trades, while member requests can uncover interesting charts that may otherwise be overlooked. Earnings reports are also monitored closely since they can cause volatility, enabling traders to spot potential pitfalls or opportunities based on forthcoming market reactions. Ultimately, successful setups typically showcase established trends bouncing off support levels, allowing traders to set clear targets and risk parameters.
Our guests this week, Zac Mannes and Garrett Patten from Stock Waves, and The Pragmatic Investor, discuss Elliot Wave Theory and investor sentiment.
(0:30) - Forecasting US stocks with Elliot Wave Theory and investor sentiment (4:20) - Incorporating fundamental with technical analysis (9:00) - What is an ideal set-up? (13:40) - Long-term top; risk skews to downside (19:40) - Bitcoin, crypto won't decouple too drastically from broader market