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Insightful Investor

#43 - David Dredge: Risk Management

Oct 22, 2024
David Dredge, Founder and CIO of Convex Strategies with over 30 years of risk management experience, offers intriguing insights into modern investment practices. He challenges traditional risk frameworks, advocating for a 'barbell' approach to navigate market uncertainties. Dredge highlights the significance of convexity in investment strategies, critiquing conventional measures. He also explores economic risks related to rising interest rates and emphasizes the impact of divergent investment returns, illustrating how key moments can make or break long-term growth.
01:18:52

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Quick takeaways

  • Understanding that true risk involves potential vulnerabilities rather than mere predictability is essential for informed investment decisions.
  • Critiquing traditional risk metrics like volatility encourages investors to redefine risk assessment methodologies beyond statistical calculations.

Deep dives

The Role of Risk in Investing

Understanding risk is crucial for investors, as traditional approaches often misrepresent its nature. Many investors focus on returns while failing to grasp that true risk encompasses potential vulnerabilities rather than predictability. The podcast highlights that major financial events occur unpredictably, suggesting that investors should seek to protect against unforeseen risks rather than trying to forecast specific outcomes. This perspective emphasizes the importance of a robust risk management framework that prioritizes protection against unanticipated events over simplistic volatility measurements.

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