Year in Review: Anne Applebaum & Frank Foer on Foreign Affairs
Dec 10, 2023
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Foreign affairs experts Anne Applebaum & Frank Foer discuss the House Oversight Committee's investigation into Hunter Biden, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, Israel's politics under Netanyahu, sacrificing national interest in the Gaza war, and the battle between democracy and autocracy.
The ongoing conflict between Ukraine and Russia has resulted in a stalemate, causing widespread human suffering and economic devastation.
Former Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's focus on preserving his political career has led to deep divisions within Israel, raising concerns about the country's democracy and future existence.
Deep dives
Ukraine-Russia Conflict: A Stalemate with Mounting Casualties
The ongoing conflict between Ukraine and Russia has resulted in a stalemate, with neither side gaining significant ground. The battle of Bachmout, led by mercenaries, resulted in a Pyrrhic victory for Russia. Casualty estimates for Russians range from 100,000 to 120,000 dead, while Ukraine has suffered around 60,000 to 70,000 casualties. The war has taken a toll on both military personnel and civilians, with widespread human suffering and economic devastation. Despite the current impasse, the conflict remains dynamic, with the potential for rapid shifts in the balance of power.
Netanyahu's Political Calculations and Israel's Future
Former Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's focus on preserving his political career has had detrimental effects on Israel's national interests. His alignment with extremist allies and attempts to undermine Israel's judicial system have led to deep divisions within the country. These divisions, along with Netanyahu's policies, have raised concerns among Israelis about the future of their democracy and the risk of undermining Israel's existence. As Netanyahu faces potential trial and a changing political landscape, Israel will need to grapple with the consequences of his leadership and address the neglected Palestinian question.
China's Rise and Global Power Dynamics
China's role in global power dynamics is complex. The country's economic stability and attempts to expand its influence have not been without challenges, such as economic vulnerabilities and bubbles within its economy. Despite its rising tensions with the US and conflicts over issues like Taiwan, China has shown hesitance to engage in full-scale regional warfare. The US, under the Biden administration, has played a role in managing tensions and preventing further escalations. However, China's growing assertiveness and authoritarian alliances with other autocratic nations pose ongoing challenges to the democratic world.
Democracy vs. Autocracy: A Changing Global Landscape
The global landscape is witnessing a growing clash between democracy and autocracy. While there have been minor victories for democracy, such as the recent election outcome in Poland, the overall trend leans towards an increasing collaboration and consolidation of power among autocratic states. Autocratic world leaders like Putin, Xi, and others are seeking to defend their regimes against liberal ideas and exert their influence. Within this landscape, a network of autocracies has emerged, sharing surveillance technology, engaging in corrupt deals, and challenging the notions of democracy. This presents an ongoing challenge for democracies to respond and address the changing dynamics effectively.