In Moscow's Shadows

In Moscow's Shadows 172: BRICS without Straw

Oct 26, 2024

The recent BRICS summit in Kazan is a key focus, revealing Putin's attempts to reshape Russia's global image while showcasing the transactional nature of alliances with nations like China and Iran. The discussion touches on Russia's complex political landscape, drawing parallels with past decades of instability, crime, and mysticism. Economic challenges are explored, especially in light of recent interest rates and the ongoing impact of the Ukraine conflict. The analysis concludes with reflections on modern governance's stagnation, reminiscent of historical socio-political declines.

39:08

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Quick takeaways

The BRICS summit in Kazan highlighted Russia's transactional relationships within the coalition, emphasizing national interests over collective solidarity.

Historical comparisons of Russia's current state reflect a stable yet challenged regime, distinct from the chaotic collapse of the 1990s.

Deep dives

The Nature and Composition of BRICS

BRICS, originally comprising Brazil, Russia, India, and China, has expanded to include new members like South Africa, Iran, Egypt, Ethiopia, and the UAE. The group functions more as a loose coalition rather than a unified bloc, often convening to discuss trade and geopolitics. The recent summit in Kazan highlighted the multicultural and multi-ethnic aspects of Russia, showcasing its regional strengths. Within this context, the perception of BRICS varies, with some leaders viewing it as an alternative to Western influence, while others remain cautious due to differing national agendas.

Intro

5min

BRICS Summit: Geopolitical Shifts and Alliances

20min

The Complex Dynamics of BRICS and Russia's Return to the 1990s

5min

Resilience and Historical Parallels in Russia's Economy

3min

Historical Parallels and Political Inertia in Modern Russia

7min

(It seems to be obligatory to use a weak BRICS/bricks pun, so I felt I had to follow...)

The BRICS summit in Kazan (a smart place to hold it) gives all the appearances of being a propaganda win for Putin. However, I think it emphasised that in a new 'multipolar' world, he only has the friends he can afford to rent -- and some day the bill will become due.

In the second half, I question whether Russia is genuinely falling back into the 'wild 90s'. Perhaps the 'stagnant 70s'? Or the 'decaying 80s'? Or -- my favourite -- the 'braindead 10s'. Either way, these historical parallels should be considered no more than thought laboratories.

The podcast's corporate partner and sponsor is Conducttr, which provides software for innovative and immersive crisis exercises in hybrid warfare, counter-terrorism, civil affairs and similar situations.

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