Timcast IRL Trump Endorses Cuomo, Says NO COMMIE MAMDANI, Obama REFUSES To Endorse Mamdani w/ Mark Grimes
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Nov 4, 2025 Mark Grimes, a former Toronto city councillor and trader, shares insights on the political landscape of New York City, focusing on Trump's surprising endorsement of Andrew Cuomo for mayor. They dive into trading data predicting how Cuomo might win against Mamdani, while discussing the implications of a potential food stamp cut by the Trump administration. Grimes also highlights U.S.-Canada trade ties, touching on tariffs and their effects on communities. The conversation wraps up with reflections on urban crime and the dynamics of multiculturalism in city planning.
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Local Markets Can Diverge From National Odds
- Tim argues Kalshi trading shows Cuomo has stronger in-city support despite national markets favoring Mamdani.
- This suggests local voter knowledge can diverge sharply from national betting markets.
Trader-Turned-Politician Background
- Mark recounts 13 years trading on the Toronto Stock Exchange floor and 19 years as a Toronto city councillor.
- He uses that background to frame his views on trade and urban policy.
Cities Tend To Favor Left Politics
- Hosts say urban centers naturally lean left because service jobs and transit concentrate voters downtown.
- They conclude political geography shifts conservative support to suburbs and rural areas.