Ken McElroy Show

They Aren't Trying to Lower Home Prices (Here’s Why)

Jan 27, 2026
They dig into why policymakers focus on buyer qualification and monthly payments instead of letting home prices fall. Conversations cover financing moves, supply shortages, and why governments resist housing crashes. They explore builders’ constraints, the housing shortfall, and who gains when rates drop. Practical forecasts for refinancing, building activity, and preparing investments for 2026 round out the discussion.
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INSIGHT

Policy Prioritizes Payments Over Price

  • Policymakers focus on lowering buyer payments and down‑payment barriers rather than forcing home price declines.
  • Protecting homeowners and the economy makes price cuts politically and practically unlikely.
INSIGHT

Demand Moves Faster Than Supply

  • Falling rates spark immediate demand while supply lags, so prices rarely crash quickly.
  • With constrained supply, lower rates tend to raise activity before any new inventory appears.
INSIGHT

Structural Shortage Drives Price Rises

  • Household formation outpaced construction over many years, creating a structural housing shortage.
  • That long duration shortfall explains much of the price rise since 2019.
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