Retired Green Beret Col. David Maxwell discusses paramilitary options against Russian invaders in Ukraine, while former US-Iran nuclear deal negotiator Ernest Moniz offers perspective on new talks with hardliners. Topics include the role of the Green Berets in Ukraine, the mindset of Special Forces soldiers, the potential of a Russian invasion, the European response to the conflict in Ukraine, Iran's nuclear capability, challenges in Iran's nuclear program, and Israel's involvement in assassinations and sabotage in Iran.
The urgency to reinstate the JCPOA is emphasized to prevent the risk of nuclear proliferation in the region.
The implementation of special forces and unconventional warfare strategies in Ukraine is discussed as an option to support the Ukrainian army and civilians in preparing for a Russian invasion.
Deep dives
Ukraine Situation: Senior State Department Official Warns of Potential Russian Invasion
A senior State Department official has expressed concern over the Ukraine situation, stating that Russia could invade Ukraine at any moment. The official highlights the urgency of the situation and the potential danger it poses. The possibility of a U.S.-backed guerrilla war in Ukraine is also discussed as an option to support the Ukrainian army and civilians in preparing for a Russian invasion. The goal would be to organize a long-term resistance to bleed the Russians until it becomes unsustainable for them. Expert opinions from a retired Green Beret colonel are shared regarding the implementation of special forces and unconventional warfare strategies in Ukraine.
Negotiations to Restore Iran Nuclear Deal Face Challenges
Negotiations are underway in Vienna to restore the 2015 nuclear deal with Iran, known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), which restricted Iran's nuclear activities. However, the talks have not been making significant progress. Concerns are raised about Iran's increasing enrichment of uranium to 60% and its capability to produce nuclear weapons within weeks if it decides to do so. The urgency to reinstate the JCPOA is emphasized to prevent the risk of nuclear proliferation in the region. The importance of verification and transparency measures is highlighted to ensure the absence of covert nuclear programs. Challenges in the negotiation process, including political barriers and dual-track verification methods, are discussed.
Special Forces' Role in Ukraine: Building Resistance and Defense Capability
The role of Special Forces, particularly the Green Berets, in supporting Ukraine's defense against a potential Russian invasion is explored. Special Operations Command Europe has developed a resistance operating concept to aid countries in developing an indigenous resistance capability. The objective is to enable countries to defend themselves against external hostile actions. The concept draws from historical examples, such as the French resistance against the Nazi Germans in World War II and the Afghan resistance against the Red Army. The Special Forces' mission in Ukraine would involve advising, assisting, and training Ukrainian forces and civilians, emphasizing indigenous capability and leveraging Ukraine's tradition of resistance. The possibility of a long-term guerrilla war is highlighted, intending to present a challenging dilemma to Russian forces.
Challenges in Restoring Iran Nuclear Agreement and Regional Implications
The challenges in restoring the Iran nuclear agreement and the potential regional implications are discussed. The difficulties facing negotiations are highlighted, including the Iranian demand that the United States cannot directly negotiate due to non-compliance. The significance of verification and transparency measures, including access to monitoring data, is stressed to ensure adequate oversight. The risks of nuclear proliferation, particularly in Saudi Arabia, are noted should the agreement fail. Concerns over potential Israeli actions to prevent a nuclear-capable Iran are also mentioned. The need for a comprehensive regional agreement and addressing regional proxy conflicts is emphasized to reduce militarization and build confidence in regional security.
Retired Green Beret Col. David Maxwell discusses paramilitary options against Russian invaders in Ukraine, while former US-Iran nuclear deal negotiator Ernest Moniz offers perspective on new talks with hardliners. With Jeff Stein and Jeanne Meserve.
*A previous version of this episode placed David Maxwell with Georgetown. This corrected version notes that he is a Senior Fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies.