Neutrality Studies

US Realignment SHOCKS Europe / Pakistan Changes The Game / Nepal Color Revolution? | Arnaud Bertrand

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Sep 27, 2025
Arnaud Bertrand, a French geopolitical analyst and influential Twitter voice, delves into shifting alliances and tensions in global politics. He discusses America's surprising pivot towards China, leaving European leaders on edge about their security dependence. Bertrand explores the chaotic political landscape in France, the burgeoning Saudi-Pakistan alliance, and its implications for Iran. He also weighs in on the genuine nature of Nepal's protests, dismissing claims of external manipulation while highlighting domestic grievances.
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INSIGHT

France Reverts To Political Instability

  • France's Fifth Republic is reverting toward instability with frequent government changes that mirror earlier parliamentary eras.
  • Arnaud Bertrand predicts repeated short-lived governments until Macron's term ends in 2027.
INSIGHT

France Losing Influence In EU Foreign Policy

  • France publicly opposed the US-UK deal in Scotland that Bertrand calls "imperial tribute" yet lacked influence to stop the EU's commitment.
  • He argues Germany now holds more sway over EU external policy than France does.
INSIGHT

Threat Inflation Masks European Dependence

  • Europe is inflating threats to persuade the US to stay engaged while increasing dependence by buying expensive US armaments.
  • Bertrand sees US withdrawal as a chance for European strategic independence, not merely a loss.
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