Call Me Back - with Dan Senor What Happens If the U.S. Strikes Iran?- with Karim Sadjadpour and Nadav Eyal
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Jan 14, 2026 
Karim Sadjadpour, an Iran analyst at the Carnegie Endowment, and Nadav Eyal, a journalist focused on the Middle East, dive into the complexities surrounding potential U.S. military action against Iran. They discuss the implications of President Trump’s threats, the likelihood of Iranian retaliation, and whether the Ayatollah regime is on the brink of collapse. Insights into Israel's military readiness and the challenges of Iran’s internet blackout highlight the urgency of the situation, along with a debate over what the West should do next.
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Khamenei Is Brutal But Not Suicidal
- Ayatollah Khamenei is experienced and risk-averse, unlikely to order suicidal retaliation that would threaten regime survival.
- Karim Sadjadpour argues any Iranian response to a U.S. strike would likely be performative rather than existentially risky.
Iran's Digital Iron Curtain
- Iran has imposed an almost complete communications blackout, leaving only about 1% connectivity.
- Karim Sadjadpour warns the regime uses the digital shutdown deliberately to enable mass killings in the dark.
Israel Expects A U.S. Response
- Israeli assessments expect the U.S. will respond but debate whether it will be kinetic or non-lethal cyber operations.
- Nadav Eyal reports Israeli sources see a decision pending in the White House about the type of response.
