The Jack Mallers Show

BTFD? Understanding Bonds, Debt, Markets & Bitcoin

35 snips
Feb 3, 2026
They dig into Japan's bond stress and why Tokyo matters for global dollar liquidity. They explain government bonds, rising yields, and the risk of a debt spiral. They trace how JGB turmoil can contagion into U.S. markets and push Bitcoin as a risk-off asset. They debate inflation signals, Fed constraints, and scaling Bitcoin with Lightning and layers.
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INSIGHT

Bitcoin Trades As Tech And Liquidity, Not Gold

  • Risk-off in global markets hits Bitcoin first and hardest because it's treated partly as tech/liquidity.
  • Bitcoin currently trades as a mix of fiat liquidity and tech exposure, not yet as gold-like safe haven.
INSIGHT

Dollar Liquidity Drops Pressure Bitcoin

  • Dollar liquidity fell roughly $300B recently, pressuring risk assets including Bitcoin.
  • Bitcoin reacts sensitively to dollar liquidity and is not yet front-running it like gold.
ADVICE

Lower Your Time Preference; Stack Consistently

  • Don't panic-sell during risk-off; maintain low time preference and long-term focus.
  • Stack sats consistently and use history to understand cycles instead of chasing headlines.
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