Liberals can win with Trump’s foreign interference
Mar 17, 2025
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John Ivison, a National Post columnist, and Lorne Gunter, a columnist for The Sun, discuss the tumultuous relationship between Canada and the U.S. after Mark Carney's election as prime minister. They explore how Carney's controversial cabinet picks may overshadow his challenges, including deal-making with a now-mobilized Trump. They dive into Albertan farmers' struggles with falling canola prices coinciding with the approaching election, examining the importance of tacit endorsements in shaping voter perceptions and the dynamics of Canadian political strategies.
Mark Carney's leadership style marks a formal shift from his predecessor, emphasizing efficiency through a smaller cabinet despite regional representation concerns.
The upcoming elections present an opportunity for the Liberals to leverage public sentiment regarding Trump to secure voter support amid trade tensions.
Deep dives
Mark Carney's Leadership and Early Actions
Mark Carney has recently taken on the role of Canada's Prime Minister, and the initial impressions indicate a shift in leadership style compared to his predecessor. His administration is noted for its more formal approach, avoiding the emotional expressions that characterized previous interactions in government. Observers have pointed out the significant reduction in the size of the cabinet, from 34 to 24 ministers, which is seen as a step toward increased efficiency. However, concerns are raised regarding the representation within his cabinet, as it appears heavily weighted towards the Toronto area, which might alienate other regions.
Carney's Approach to U.S.-Canada Relations
In dealing with the United States, Carney faces the challenge of negotiating amid heightened trade tensions, particularly with Donald Trump at the helm. His decision to prioritize European relations before addressing U.S. trade matters has sparked debate, with critics suggesting that meeting Trump should take precedence given the current trade war. The interactions between Carney and Trump are anticipated to be pivotal, as they will set the tone for future negotiations between Canada and the U.S. Analysts underscore the importance of Carney balancing domestic pressures and international diplomacy to navigate these complex relations effectively.
The Political Landscape Ahead of the Election
As the political landscape shifts, momentum appears to favor the Liberal Party under Carney, particularly with upcoming elections looming. Current polling suggests that voters are more inclined to support Carney when it comes to handling relations with Trump compared to his conservative opposition. The strategy of the Conservative Party, which relies on criticizing Carney and hoping for Liberal missteps, is perceived as risky, especially if Trump continues to create chaos. With public sentiment fluctuating rapidly, the next few weeks leading up to the election are critical for both parties.
Regional Divide and Agricultural Concerns
A notable tension exists between Western and Eastern Canada, especially concerning agricultural policies and the impact of tariffs on local farmers. Many farmers in the West have voiced their frustrations over the imposition of tariffs from China as a retaliation to Canadian policies, which have hit canola and pea markets particularly hard. The perception that Ottawa is favoring Eastern economic interests while neglecting Western agricultural concerns threatens national unity. As Carney's government prepares for the electoral landscape, addressing these regional grievances could be crucial for maintaining support across the country.
Canada’s crucial relationship with the U.S. is in its worst crisis ever. And Mark Carney’s first urgent trip as prime minister is … to Europe. Brian talks with John Ivison and Lorne Gunter this week to assess Carney’s first curious moves as the newly selected Liberal leader. But while Carney’s already saddled with loads of negative baggage — and just added more with some cabinet picks — none of it may matter, they say. Climate-regulatory alarmism like Trudeau on steroids? Weak French? Soft on crime? Cosy with China? Carney can skate past all of it by calling an election soon, as long as Trump keeps threatening us and Liberals keep persuading voters Carney’s the right man to handle him. (Recorded March 14, 2025)