

Cautious Open for APAC Markets; Election Day in South Korea
7 snips Jun 3, 2025
Adam Coons, Chief Investment Officer at Winthrop Capital Management, discusses the cautious beginnings for Asian markets following a surge in US tech stocks. He highlights the implications of US-China trade tariffs that could influence inflation and investment strategies. With South Korea's presidential election underway, Coons examines the political turmoil, emphasizing the challenges facing the new leader amid a divided nation and an economy vulnerable to external pressures. Insight from M. Jae Moon adds depth to the conversation about the need for unity and effective recovery plans.
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Tariffs Contract Manufacturing Sector
- Tariffs act as an economic contractor, causing manufacturing contraction due to rising costs and uncertainty.
- This contraction counters the intended economic boost from tariffs, indicating a complex impact on inflation and growth.
Stagflation Risks Loom
- Stagflation is a major concern as it traps the Fed between rising unemployment and climbing inflation.
- This scenario could hinder traditional monetary policy and deepen economic difficulties if tariffs and inflation persist.
Cautious on Long-Term Bonds
- Avoid extending duration to 30-year treasuries now; the market faces debt maturity pressures.
- However, long-duration bonds at 5% yield offer asymmetric risk and may be valuable over time.