The Intelligence from The Economist

Foiled plot: did Iran plan British base attack?

Sep 28, 2026
Matthew Symonds, an international-security analyst, examines a suspected Iranian plot near RAF Fairford and the risks of escalating hybrid warfare. Commodities editor Matthieu Favas explores oil firms’ soaring profits, investment pressures and the energy transition. Data-journalism editor Michelle Hennessy discusses research on daughters, workplace bias and women’s pay.
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ANECDOTE

Partygoers Foil Suspicious Activity Near Fairford

  • Three people returning from a party spotted three white vans and masked men near RAF Fairford, then alerted police.
  • Helicopters and officers quickly arrived, while authorities evacuated the area over suspected explosives that might detonate soon.
INSIGHT

Why Fairford Matters To Iran

  • Fairford is a UK sovereign base heavily used by American bombers and transport aircraft for operations in Europe and the Middle East.
  • Iran previously warned that military activity against it originating from Britain would make the base a legitimate target.
INSIGHT

Iran’s Hybrid Warfare Uses Local Recruits

  • Iranian hybrid activity in Britain has targeted Jewish communities, dissidents, a London-based Iranian television station, and cyber infrastructure.
  • MI5 recorded more than 20 potentially lethal Iranian plots in a year, while operatives were often recruited teenagers paid through criminal intermediaries.
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