Tangle

PREVIEW - Isaac talks with Emily Oster

May 26, 2025
Emily Oster, an economist and author known for her data-driven approach to parenthood, joins to discuss a range of topics. They dive into declining fertility rates and the impact of financial incentives on family planning. Cultural shifts and societal attitudes towards parenthood are examined, along with the pressing need for better parental leave policies. The conversation touches on how COVID-19 has influenced education and parental concerns, particularly the challenges faced in the age of social media, highlighting the evolving landscape of modern parenting.
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INSIGHT

Global Decline in Fertility Rates

  • Fertility rates have declined globally, especially in rich countries, often below replacement levels.
  • Measuring fertility rate decline is complex because people are having children later in life.
INSIGHT

Limited Impact of Financial Incentives

  • Financial incentives like baby bonuses have limited impact on increasing birth rates unless they are very large.
  • Most effects of incentives shift timing of births rather than increasing total births.
INSIGHT

Key Factors Behind Fertility Decline

  • Declining teen birth rates and delayed childbearing explain part of fertility decline.
  • More people are choosing not to have children at all, a key factor we struggle to understand.
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