History 102 with WhatifAltHist's Rudyard Lynch and Austin Padgett

A New Civil War?

Mar 19, 2024

Explore the potential of a new civil war in the U.S. and a revolution in China through economic, demographic, and behavioral analysis. Discuss historical patterns, interdisciplinary approaches, and inspiration from science fiction authors like Frank Herbert. Dive into predictive models for revolutions, elite fractures, and societal conflicts, with insights into global political turbulence and the analogy of cameras in analytical thinking.

01:26:46

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Episode guests

Rudyard

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Episode notes

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Quick takeaways

Analyzing historical data can help predict future global events like civil wars.

Studying older historical texts shapes our perspective on societal norms and interactions.

Population size, procreation rates, and elite power dynamics can spark civil conflicts.

Deep dives

Patterns in History Predicting Future Trends

The discussion delves into predicting future events by analyzing historical patterns. Rudyard Lynch, not a credentialed historian but a history enthusiast, discusses his approach to understanding history through the lens of predicting the future based on historical trends and patterns. By studying various civilizations, anthropology, and geopolitics, he aims to decipher the underlying rules governing human societies and global dynamics.

Introduction

3min

Exploring Historical Patterns and Interdisciplinary Approaches

12min

Exploring Historical Inspiration in Science Fiction and Predictions for the Future

4min

Patterns and Predictions of Revolutions

6min

Civil War Scenarios and Dynamics

18min

Elite Fractures and Societal Conflicts

17min

Predictions and Turbulence in Global Politics

12min

Exploring Analogy of Cameras in Analytical Thinking

2min

Today, we're releasing a special episode from the Moment of Zen podcast where Rudyard was the featured guest along with hosts Erik Torenberg and Dan Romero. They discuss his analysis of potential future global events, such as an American civil war and a revolution in China, considering economic conditions, demographics, and societal behaviors.

This show is produced by Turpentine: a network of podcasts, newsletters, and more, covering technology, business, and culture — all from the perspective of industry insiders and experts. We’re launching new shows every week, and we’re looking for industry-leading sponsors — if you think that might be you and your company, email us at erik@turpentine.co.

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History 102: https://www.youtube.com/@History102-qg5oj

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