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Julien Garran: The Real Trump Trade Is a Blue-Collar Economic Revolution

Apr 10, 2025
In a captivating discussion, Julien Garran, a partner at MacroStrategy Partnership specializing in global liquidity cycles, reveals the misinterpretation of Trump's economic agenda. He argues that the 'Real Trump Trade' focuses on revitalizing blue-collar workers through strategic government interventions. Julien discusses how trade, spending, and energy policies aim to rectify decades of decline, while predicting a deflationary bust turning into a reflationary boom. He also raises concerns about AI's sustainability as a bubble and the potential for long-term economic shifts.
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INSIGHT

The Real Trump Trade

  • Markets misread Trump's economic agenda after his re-election.
  • His focus is on reversing blue-collar decline, not catering to billionaires.
INSIGHT

Globalization's Downside

  • Free trade can harm domestic industries and workers, not always a "win-win".
  • Unilateral free trade with countries like China has devastated the US Midwest.
ANECDOTE

Paisley's Decline

  • Paisley, Scotland, once produced 99% of the world's cotton cloth.
  • Now, after free trade, it produces 0%, and its economy is severely depressed.
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