NatSec Matters
The Year of Living Dangerously: Michael Allen
Jan 3, 2024
Michael Allen, Managing Director at Beacon Global Strategies, interviews Michael Morel and Andy McCreitas as they discuss their predictions for national security and intelligence in 2024. They cover potential risks in 2024, Israeli-Hamas conflict, speculation on a coordinated attack involving Iran, US policy towards Iran, and growing tensions between China and the United States.
56:19
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Quick takeaways
- 2024 is anticipated to have significant geopolitical and national security risks, comparable to the al-Qaeda threat in 2002.
- The future of Ukraine depends on sustained Western support to counter Russia's maximalist goals.
Deep dives
2024 Brings Significant Geopolitical and National Security Risk
The year 2024 is expected to bring significant geopolitical and national security risks. Experts believe that the level of risk in 2024 is comparable to that faced in 2002 during the al-Qaeda threat. The prospect of a Russian invasion of Ukraine has heightened tensions, but experts anticipate that 2024 will have even higher levels of risk. Territorial disputes, such as those in the South China Sea and the Korean Peninsula, also contribute to the overall geopolitical risk.
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