The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast NFL Touchdown Show | Week 5
Oct 8, 2026
Grant Neiffer, an NFL props specialist, and Sean Koerner, a predictive analytics director and elite fantasy expert, dive into Week 5 touchdown markets. They spotlight injury-driven values, red-zone roles, rushing upside from quarterbacks, emerging receiving targets, and enticing long shots. The pair also build bold Sunday night, Monday night, and favorite touchdown parlays.
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Injuries Make Likely And Daniels Attractive
- Grant Neiffer sees value on Isaiah Likely because six red-zone targets and a possible Malik Nabers absence could drive volume.
- Jayden Daniels remains dangerous at plus money because he already has eight career rushing touchdowns despite limited playing time.
Attack Pollard’s Touchdown Regression
- Target Tony Pollard near the goal line after he ranked third in NFL carries inside the 10 without scoring twice there.
- Consider Brevin Jordan only as a major long-shot flyer, since Houston could target him if he reaches the red zone.
Blitz Rates Reveal Vele’s Touchdown Upside
- Devon Vele’s target rate rises from 15% to 22% when Minnesota blitzes, making him a logical hot-read touchdown candidate.
- Sean Koerner expects Kyler Murray to use his legs more as he gets comfortable in Minnesota’s offense.