The Intelligence from The Economist No guarantees: NATO members debate Ukraine’s future
9 snips
Jun 22, 2023 
Guest Anton LaGuardia, The Economist's diplomatic editor, shares insights on the mixed feelings within NATO regarding Ukraine's membership amid the conflict with Russia. He highlights the shifting stance of the U.S. and the varying support of member nations. Meanwhile, Gabriel Crossley, China correspondent, discusses the alarming impact of rising sea levels threatening cities like Guangzhou and Shanghai. He warns of the urgent need for urban planning as millions face risks by 2100, contemplating if a modern 'Great Wall' could shield them from these challenges.
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Shifting Stances on Ukraine
- Most NATO members, even traditionally reluctant ones like France, now favor a clear path to membership for Ukraine.
- However, the US has reversed its stance, now resisting due to fears of direct conflict with Russia.
US Opposition and Escalation Fears
- The US opposes Ukraine's immediate NATO accession, fearing direct conflict with Russia and potential nuclear escalation.
- President Biden's stance prioritizes avoiding a potential World War III scenario.
Ukraine's Uncertain Future
- Ukraine's desired outcome of a decisive victory and Putin's removal may not align with Western objectives, potentially impacting NATO membership prospects.
- NATO membership could serve as a bridge between Ukraine's ambitions and Western limitations, possibly cementing a future diplomatic solution.
