The Doorstep: Can the Nation-State Survive in 2024? with Judah Grunstein
Jan 11, 2024
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Editor-in-chief of World Politics Review, Judah Grunstein, discusses the fracturing of nation-states, the potential impacts of migration and extreme weather on electorate demands, the shift in economic paradigms due to organized labor, and the increasing influence of the Global South against the Global North in international politics in 2024.
The transformation of the liberal international order may lead to the reconfiguration of nation states, with potential combinations or fracturing of existing states.
Technological advancements and political dynamics may result in the fragmentation of nation states, as administrative power and surveillance authority are exercised by local governments and major corporations alike.
Deep dives
Emergence of New Nation-State Configurations
The podcast episode discusses the idea that the transformation of the liberal international order may lead to the reconfiguration of nation states. The evolution of nation states is seen as contingent on historical events and is not necessarily an inevitable or unchangeable process. The podcast explores the various pressures and tensions that nation states face, both internally and externally, and raises questions about the future of nation states in terms of potential combinations or fracturing of existing states.
Technological Shifts and Political Fragmentation
The podcast highlights the impact of technological advancements on political dynamics and the potential for the fracturing of large nation states. The decentralization of technologies and capabilities has enabled local governments and major corporations alike to exercise administrative power and surveillance authority, blurring the traditional boundaries of state control. The discussion delves into the complexities of how technology interacts with political and ideological identitarian trends, resulting in the potential fragmentation of nation states.
Increasing Tensions and the Likelihood of Armed Conflict
The podcast explores the rising tensions and geopolitical factors that may increase the likelihood of armed conflict in the coming years. It discusses the opportunistic actions of certain actors in the global environment, taking advantage of the complex global order and power dynamics. The erosion of international norms against aggression and armed conflict is examined in relation to recent conflicts and the challenges in maintaining multilateral negotiations and peacemaking efforts. The discussion emphasizes the fragile state of the global security order and its potential impact on nation states.
Leadership Transitions, Changing Political Landscape, and Climate Complexity
The podcast highlights the upcoming year of elections and leadership transitions, suggesting that these changes may bring about new perspectives and potential shifts in global politics. It reflects on the generational shifts in leadership, with a focus on the rise of younger leaders who have different experiences and perspectives. Additionally, the podcast emphasizes the growing significance of extreme weather events and their impact on governments, nations, and people at the local and national levels. The conversation underscores the need for increased attention to the consequences of extreme weather and its potential connection to migration patterns and sustainability debates.
Judah Grunstein, editor-in-chief of World Politics Review, joins Doorstep co-hosts Nick Gvosdev and Tatiana Serafin for his annual review of global power shifts. With military and social conflicts pressuring nation-states, Grunstein discusses the fracturing, power vacuums, and identitarianism that will re-shape international politics in 2024. With nearly half the globe headed to the polls, major changes are on the horizon.
How will migration and extreme weather impact electorate demands? To what extent will organized labor shift economic paradigms? Will the Global South finally gain more influence vis-à-vis the Global North?
For more, please go to: https://www.carnegiecouncil.org/media/series/the-doorstep/nation-state-survive-2024-judah-grunstein
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