Exploring the controversial topic of industrial policy and government intervention in the economy, focusing on President Biden's ambitious investments in microchip manufacturing and clean energy. Delving into the historical context, debate on market failures, and the shift towards embracing industrial policy. Analyzing the risks and rewards of government big bets on companies like Solindra and Tesla, highlighting the challenges and potential outcomes of this significant economic experiment.
Governments adopting industrial policy to boost economic growth face debates on efficiency and market distortions.
Proponents argue that industrial policy can rectify market imperfections, but critics raise concerns about implementation challenges and political favoritism.
Deep dives
Understanding Industrial Policy
Industrial policy, historically considered controversial in economics, involves governments promoting specific sectors of the economy to boost economic growth. Despite economists traditionally opposing industrial policy due to concerns of inefficiency and market distortions, countries like the US under President Biden are now adopting extensive industrial policies to fund sectors like microchip manufacturing and clean energy. This shift marks a significant departure from past economic ideologies, raising questions about the effectiveness and outcomes of such policies.
Evaluating Industrial Policy
The debate surrounding industrial policy revolves around its ability to address market failures and stimulate economic development. Proponents argue that policies like subsidies and trade protections can rectify market imperfections, such as positive externalities and coordination failures, by guiding the economy towards specific goals. However, critics raise concerns about government capacity to effectively implement industrial policies without succumbing to issues like political favoritism or insufficient information. The efficacy of industrial policy remains a subject of ongoing research and discussion.
Real-world Experimentation and Policy Implications
Recent developments in industrial policy, exemplified by Biden's initiatives, reflect a renewed interest in government intervention to address economic challenges. By analyzing historical events and natural experiments, researchers aim to provide insights into when and how industrial policy can succeed in correcting market failures. As countries invest substantial resources in industrial policy measures, the need for rigorous evaluation, effective governance structures, and lessons from past successes and failures becomes crucial in shaping future economic policies.
Réka Juhász is a professor of economics at the University of British Columbia, and she studies what's known as industrial policy.
That's the general term for whenever the government tries to promote specific sectors of the economy. The idea is that they might be able to supercharge growth by giving money to certain kinds of businesses, or by putting up trade barriers to protect certain industries. Economists have long been against it. Industrial policy has been called a "taboo" subject, and "one of the most toxic phrases" in economics. The mainstream view has been that industrial policy is inefficient, even harmful.
For a long time, politicians largely accepted that view. But in the past several years, countries have started to embrace industrial policy—most notably in the United States. Under President Biden, the U.S. is set to spend hundreds of billions of dollars on industrial policy, to fund things like microchip manufacturing and clean energy projects. It's one of the most ambitious tests of industrial policy in U.S. history. And the billion dollar question is ... will it work?
On today's show, Réka takes us on a fun, nerdy journey to explain the theory behind industrial policy, why it's so controversial, and where President Biden's big experiment might be headed.