Seeking Balance

The Way Elite Poker Players Think Through Tough Spots

Jan 2, 2026
Jared chats with Patrick Howard, a poker coach and the founder of Mobius Poker, known for his innovative Stat-Checker tool. They dive into the decision-making processes of elite poker players, exploring the balance between intuition and data. Patrick reveals how stats can defy player assumptions and emphasizes the importance of monthly reviews for improvement. They also discuss bluffing psychology, the risks of labeling opponents, and the future of poker research and software, all while maintaining a focus on personal growth in the competitive landscape of poker.
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ADVICE

Monthly Stat-Driven Practice Plan

  • Use periodic stat checks to set targeted monthly improvement goals and track progress.
  • Focus on one main leak each month and measure convergence with regular volume-driven reviews.
INSIGHT

Use Stats As Context, Not In-Game Rules

  • Long-term stat targets shouldn't clutter in-game decision-making or become rigid goals.
  • Instead, use stats as context to nudge close decisions based on known personal tendencies.
ADVICE

Exploit Aggressively Against Fish, Cautiously Against Pros

  • When you see a clear exploit versus recreational players, take it frequently and don't overcomplicate it.
  • Be conservative against perceptive or elite opponents who can burn your exploit and push you out of comfort.
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