The Daily Punch Polls, elections and shutdown talks
Nov 3, 2025
Day 34 of the government shutdown raises urgent concerns and strategies for midterms. Polls reveal Democrats leading by eight points, while Trump's approval ratings could shift the tide. GOP infighting intensifies at the RJC summit, highlighting fractures within the party. Texas Senate primary dynamics heat up with potential runoffs looming. Economic worries are pushing for shutdown resolutions, with health care debates central to negotiations. The stakes are high as these political maneuverings pave the way for upcoming elections.
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Generic Ballot Shows Democratic Edge
- An NBC poll shows Democrats up eight points on the generic ballot, a snapshot reminiscent of 2018's environment.
- Polls vary and both parties will spin results, so treat this as a moment-in-time indicator, not a forecast.
Trump Approval Weak Among Independents
- Trump's approval sits at 41% overall and only 30% among independents in this poll.
- Low independent approval complicates Republican prospects in midterms despite redistricting advantages.
Public Blame Tilts Toward Republicans
- Polling shows 45% blame Republicans for the shutdown while 33% blame Democrats in this snapshot.
- That public perception could matter now because the shutdown is actively influencing voters and messaging.