Today we are joined by Matt Smith, Investment Director at Ruffer for a fascinating discussion on global markets, asset allocation and how history can guide us in the current global macro landscape. Matt explains why Ruffer is defensively positioned at the moment, why he is sceptical of the AI rally in stocks in recent months and where is he sees opportunity in markets at the moment. We discuss the secular outlook for inflation and why Matt believes we sill see greater volatility and a trend higher in inflation over time and what that means for asset allocation. We also delve into the parallels between the current investing and global macro environment versus the past particularly the period between 1940 and 1970 and hear about some of the key books that have influenced Matt as an investor.
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Episode TimeStamps:
02:54 - Introduction to Matt Smith
07:51 - The resilience of the economy
11:50 - Matt's portfolio construction process
16:23 - Skepticism about the goldilocks
21:57 - The outlook for inflation
30:56 - The risk and fear of structural inflation
40:27 - What we can learn from history
46:19 - The process of finding insights from history
51:09 - Matt's perspective on financial repression
54:57 - Advice for other investors
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