Pod Save America How Kamala Beats Trump (Final Ep.)
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Aug 18, 2024 Lynn Vavreck, a political scientist from UCLA, shares insights on the tight race expected in November. David Plouffe, former Obama campaign manager, discusses how to rally support for Kamala Harris against Trump. They explore the challenges of voter engagement in a polarized landscape and strategies to mobilize the electorate. The importance of mental health and self-care in campaigning is emphasized, along with fostering personal connections to sway undecided voters. Together, they highlight the critical role of grassroots efforts in shaping the election's outcome.
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Calcified Electorate
- The electorate isn't just polarized, it's calcified, roughly 50-50 between two parties.
- This makes elections close and heated, as seen in 2020.
Calcification Test
- Despite major political events, initial polls showed little movement, demonstrating calcification.
- Recent movement shows a return to a close race, as initially predicted.
2012 Parallel
- After the 2012 debates, voters who moved away from Romney after his "47%" comment and Obama's poor debate performance returned to their original candidate.
- This suggests that voters leaving Biden after the debate might return.