At Any Rate cover image

At Any Rate

EM Fixed Income: The data vs the US elections

Jul 12, 2024
EM strategists Jonny Goulden & Saad Siddiqui discuss the impact of US elections on EM markets, comparing EMEA and Latin America performance, debt restructuring insights, and complex bond negotiations in Sri Lanka.
17:41

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • EM markets show mixed performance due to US election worries and local developments in regions like LATAM.
  • Global data supports fixed income markets internationally, with EM currencies like BRL and MXN recovering.

Deep dives

Market Performance and Influencing Factors

Over the last month, while US markets have shown a bullish trend with positive growth data, Emerging Markets have experienced a mixed performance due to concerns related to the US election and specific developments in countries like LATAM. Despite some positives in the likely Fed path, EM has faced sell-offs, especially in FX, with notable recoveries seen recently in currencies like BRL and MXN. There has been a slight cheapening in EM local versus US rates, while credit markets have remained relatively stable.

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