The Cerebral Valley Podcast Fear-Mongering & Forecasting: Assessing AI's Predictions About AI
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Nov 19, 2024 The hosts dive into a forecast of AI advancements by 2025, mixing humor with prediction markets. They explore the future of AI models, highlighting potential breakthroughs and the necessary regulations, especially in healthcare. Conversations touch on implications of AI-generated content in media, Tesla's self-driving goals, and Apple's AI strategies. Skepticism reigns over AI’s potential in film and job structures, while discussions on global collaboration and regulatory challenges shine a light on the intricate landscape of technological growth.
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GPT-5 Parameter Prediction
- OpenAI's parameter increase from ~1.76 trillion to a predicted 10 trillion is a significant leap.
- This jump suggests a potential major advancement, possibly warranting a name change like GPT-5.
AI Healthcare Regulation
- AI regulation in healthcare diagnostics is expected to increase.
- Three countries are predicted to implement national-level regulations by the end of 2025.
Tesla Self-Driving Predictions
- Tesla's self-driving technology is being compared to Waymo's, which has already achieved unsupervised operation.
- Speculation arises on which US state might first approve fully unsupervised Tesla self-driving cars, with Texas and California being considered.