Why Do the Democrats Keep Losing Ground? || Peter Zeihan

The Democratic Party's coalition, once solidly formed around organized labor, ethnic minorities, and coastal elites, now faces fragmentation that undermines its electoral strength.

Despite representing up to 70% of the population when counting these groups, Democrats continue to lose by increasingly larger margins.

Key reasons include:

• Coastal elites struggle to relate to average Americans due to economic and cultural divides.
• The assumption that growing Hispanic populations would uniformly shift left has faltered as many become wealthier and align more with Republicans, especially blue-collar workers benefiting from the industrial renaissance.
• Immigrant communities tend to be socially conservative and religious, contrasting with the party's progressive social agenda.

As a result, traditional Democratic strongholds are now toss-ups, making victories dependent on unique, large-scale events rather than demographic advantage alone.

• The Democratic Party's coalition, built on organized labor, ethnic minorities, and coastal elites, should numerically dominate U.S. politics.
• Yet, demographic and economic shifts have made this coalition less reliable and less united over time.

• Coastal elites struggle to connect their progressive cultural agenda with the broader American population.
• Many Americans neither share the elites' economic status nor their social priorities like trans rights, resulting in lost resonance.