The Morning Meeting

Will Trump Bomb Iran? Endangered Regime's Response to Protests Could Put His Warning to the Test

Jan 14, 2026
Tensions with Iran take center stage as hosts dissect potential U.S. military action and President Trump's red lines. They debate casualty figures and the political implications of strikes. The conversation shifts to economic affordability, criticizing the president's vague policies. Listeners weigh in on the risks of destabilizing regimes, while updates on Bill Clinton and Minnesota ICE raids spark discussions on media coverage and public backlash. The episode also explores Schumer's Senate strategy and the U.S. position on Greenland.
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INSIGHT

US Warning Over Iran's 'Red Line'

  • Mark Halperin warns that the White House is signaling possible military action if Iran begins hanging protesters.
  • He notes posture changes (Qatar base advice) and mixed reporting but emphasizes the ambiguous "red line."
ADVICE

Watch Government Body Language

  • Mark Halperin urges attention to subtle government "body language" when officials won't tell reporters specifics.
  • He advises watching posture and reactions rather than waiting for explicit confirmations.
INSIGHT

Market Doubts On Immediate US Strikes

  • Polymarket bettors assign low probabilities to large-scale US strikes on Iran by month-end.
  • The panel finds those odds surprisingly low given administration rhetoric and posture signals.
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