In Moscow's Shadows

In Moscow's Shadows 231: Real Guarantees for Ukraine

Jan 11, 2026
Explore the complexities of security guarantees for Ukraine and why a multinational force might hinder peace efforts. Delve into the importance of credible deterrents over mere rhetoric, with a focus on sustaining Ukrainian defenses. Discover the need for robust military training, integrated air protection, and enhanced domestic arms production. Mark Galeotti outlines strategic clarity, long-term funding, and the challenges posed by NATO membership and nuclear ambitions. Tune in for insights on navigating the delicate balance of geopolitical support and operational realities.
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INSIGHT

Peacetime Foreign Troops Prevent Peace

  • Multinational peacetime forces on Ukrainian soil would block any realistic peace deal and are therefore a non-starter.
  • Mark Galeotti warns such deployments look to Russia like permanent bases and cross Putin's red lines.
ADVICE

Prioritize A Self-Reliant Fighting Force

  • Ukraine must primarily be able to defend itself with a capable standing army plus a large, well-trained reserve.
  • Europe should fund pay, equipment and sustained support so Ukraine can field disproportionate deterrent forces.
ADVICE

Train Higher-Level Command Skills

  • Focus Western training on operational and corps-level command, not just individual infantry skills.
  • Help Ukraine build doctrines and headquarters competence to run large coordinated operations.
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