The Monocle Daily

Two years into the Israel-Hamas war, what’s the best-case scenario from here?

8 snips
Oct 7, 2025
In this discussion, historian and broadcaster Alex von Tonzelman, alongside veteran journalist Robin Lustig, delve into the implications of the Gaza conflict two years later. They unpack the challenges facing the centre-right as populist movements gain traction, debating voters' shifting allegiances and the decline of traditional parties. The duo also raises concerns about media ownership impacting political discourse and reflects on the waning ability of students to engage with lengthy texts, highlighting gaps in education.
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INSIGHT

October 7th Changed The Regional Calculus

  • The October 7 attack and Israel's response produced catastrophic devastation and long-term regional consequences.
  • Robert Jenrick, Alex von Tonzelman and Robin Lustig agreed the scale and duration were unforeseeable and destructive.
INSIGHT

An Irrational Gamble With Massive Fallout

  • Hamas's strike likely wasn't a rational long-term strategy given ensuing devastation.
  • Robin Lustig argued Hamas sought to force itself back into regional conversations but it backfired severely.
INSIGHT

Security Gains, Strategic Reputation Loss

  • Israel may be tactically safer from immediate threats but suffers long-term reputational and geopolitical damage.
  • Alex von Tonzelman warned younger Western publics and some governments are drifting more pro-Palestinian, hurting Israel's standing.
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