Talking distressed with David Turetsky of White & Case
Dec 1, 2022
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David Turetsky of White & Case discusses lender tension, rescue financing, cryptocurrency collapse, and challenges faced by distressed companies in this informative podcast.
Indicators such as inflation, high interest rates, and declining corporate revenues suggest a potential distressed cycle in the near future.
The prevalence of covenant-lite debt can have significant implications in a recessionary environment, leading to creative transactions and potential valuation disputes between senior and junior creditors.
Deep dives
The Likelihood of a Distressed Cycle
Several indicators suggest that a distressed cycle may be on the horizon, including increased inflation, high interest rates, stock market declines, the Russia-Ukraine conflict, declining corporate revenues, and softening deal volume. Factors such as companies facing maturities or liquidity crunches and an uptick in liability management transactions further reinforce the possibility of a distressed cycle in the near future.
Industries Prone to Restructuring Activity
Several industries are likely to experience restructuring activity, including cryptocurrency, real estate, healthcare, automotive, retail, and aerospace. The cryptocurrency industry, with its volatility and recent collapses, may face unique restructuring challenges. Real estate companies will struggle with increased mortgage rates and higher building material costs. The healthcare industry, particularly senior living centers, will be impacted by reduced demand and a lack of government subsidies. Supply chain issues and increased costs will affect the automotive and aerospace industries, while retail businesses will struggle with declining consumer spending and supply chain disruptions.
Implications of Covenant-Lite Debt and Lender Protection
The prevalence of covenant-lite debt in recent years has significant implications in a recessionary environment. Covenant-lite structures can delay default recognition and limit junior debt holders' leverage during distress. Companies can take advantage of the flexibility provided by covenant-lite debt to engage in liability management exercises or negotiate with a subset of debt holders. Structures combining covenant-lite debt with other debt covenants may grant more influence to holders of covenant-backed debt. These dynamics can lead to creative transactions and potential valuation disputes between senior and junior creditors.
On the latest episode of Debtwire North America’s Debtwired!! series, Co-managing editor Reshmi Basu speaks with David Turetsky of White & Case.
On this podcast, David hits on several hot-button topics impacting the restructuring universe, from lender-on-lender tension and rescue financing to the cryptocurrency collapse.
David is a partner in the financial restructuring and insolvency practice at White & Case. He represents companies and other parties in complex business reorganizations, out-of-court restructurings and workouts, debt restructurings, and insolvency matters.
He has worked on a number of high-profile restructurings, including most recently, Hertz and Celsius.
#restructuring #crypto #distressed
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