Retire With Purpose - The Retirement Podcast

527: Challenging the Conventional Wisdom of Stocks vs. Bonds and Common Retirement Planning Strategies with Edward McQuarrie

15 snips
Oct 13, 2025
Edward McQuarrie, a Professor Emeritus and financial historian, challenges traditional investment wisdom in this insightful discussion. He argues that the long-held belief in stocks outperforming bonds may not hold true across all historical contexts. McQuarrie emphasizes the importance of securing baseline income, recommending tools like TIPS ladders and annuities. He also tackles the complexities of Roth conversions and warns against overconfident financial forecasts, urging retirees to adopt a more nuanced and historically informed approach to their financial planning.
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INSIGHT

Stocks Are A Wager Not A Sure Bet

  • Stocks are a wager that can win or lose, not a guaranteed long-term safe asset.
  • Historical data shows stocks sometimes outperform bonds and sometimes underperform over long periods.
INSIGHT

1926 Data Cutoff Distorts History

  • The common 'since 1926' data cutoff is arbitrary and can mislead conclusions.
  • Longer historical records back to the 1790s reveal different multi-century patterns.
INSIGHT

Survivorship Bias Skewed Early Indexes

  • Early indices suffered survivorship bias by excluding failed stocks.
  • Siegel used those flawed sources, producing overly rosy long-term stock conclusions.
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