The Early Edge: A Daily Sports Betting Podcast Monday's BEST BETS: Monday Night Football Picks + MLB Bets
Oct 5, 2026
Alex Selznick, the data-driven MLB and fantasy analyst, joins NFL specialist Meg Shoup and quantitative handicapper Larry Hartstein for a packed betting slate. They break down Monday Night Football line movement, Bijan Robinson and Alvin Kamara props, passing-volume angles, and first-touchdown longshots. The panel also explores Yankees and White Sox ALDS bets, pitcher strikeout markets, hockey value, parlays, and odds boosts.
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Line Movement Challenges Saints Home-Field Emotion
- Emotional home-field situations do not always translate into betting value when the market moves against them.
- Atlanta’s line movement toward the Falcons outweighed New Orleans’ 20th-anniversary atmosphere.
Bijan’s Matchup Supports A Heavy Workload
- Bijan Robinson’s workload profile aligns with a depleted Saints front seven and Atlanta’s strong offensive line.
- Larry Hartstein preferred Robinson over 85.5 rushing yards rather than a broader scrimmage-yards prop.
Target Bijan’s Explosive Run Potential
- Consider Bijan Robinson’s longest rush over 16.5 yards because New Orleans struggles against outside-zone runs.
- Meg Shoup also identified Juwan Johnson as a strong receiving-yardage lean in a pass-oriented matchup.