Bloomberg Surveillance Single Best Idea with Tom Keene: Win Thin & Frances Donald
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Aug 29, 2025 Explore the intricate world of the futures market as experts unpack its continuous liquidity and the unpredictable volume of ETFs. Dive into key economic trends like inflation and GDP growth, and learn how to navigate the complexities of market conditions in a challenging global environment. This conversation illuminates the financial landscape with insights that could shape your investment strategies.
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Prepare For Event-Driven Volatility
- Tom emphasizes staying prepared for event-driven volatility into Q3 and Q4.
- He signals investors should monitor geopolitical and fiscal risks as the season progresses.
Risks Make Market Tails Fatter
- Win Thin warns that accumulating risks make market tails fatter and more dangerous under stress.
- He links policy missteps and geopolitical shocks to increased tail risk for markets.
Central Bank Independence Matters
- Historical episodes (Turkey, Argentina) show that eroding central bank independence correlates with higher inflation.
- Win Thin notes these patterns reinforce the danger of policy missteps increasing inflation tails.