The DSR Network Celebrate the Gaza Ceasefire—Now for the Hard Part
Oct 9, 2025
Alon Pinkas, a former Israeli diplomat, offers insights into Israeli politics, while Steven Cook, a Middle East analyst, shares his expertise on regional dynamics. They discuss the implications of the newly reached Gaza ceasefire, including the political maneuvering of Trump and Netanyahu. The guests delve into the tough hurdles of achieving lasting peace, such as disarmament and governance challenges. They also consider potential fallout if the agreement falters, painting a stark picture of the future and the political landscape in Israel.
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Plan Is Transactional Not Transformational
- The Trump plan is largely transactional and focused on hostage returns rather than deep political solutions.
- It recycles elements of prior plans but lacks practical mechanisms for phase two implementation.
Critical Preconditions Are Missing
- The plan assumes goodwill, trust, and regional support that largely do not exist.
- Without those ingredients, phase two's ambiguous provisions are unlikely to be implemented.
Seek International Legitimacy Early
- If the plan had legitimacy, the right move would be to seek Security Council backing to make it binding.
- Doing so would anchor commitments beyond transactional politics and reduce ambiguity.