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City Journal's 10 Blocks
Trump’s Big Win
Nov 8, 2024
Fred Bauer, a political analyst and contributor to City Journal, dives into the intriguing dynamics of the 2024 presidential election. He highlights Trump's unexpected electoral success and the formation of new political coalitions. The conversation explores the struggles of Harris's campaign and its media strategy, contrasting it with Trump's savvy use of alternative media to connect with younger voters. Bauer also discusses the role of authenticity in a polarized political landscape and the challenges pollsters face in truly understanding voter sentiment.
20:39
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Quick takeaways
- Trump's unexpected victories, particularly among working-class and Hispanic voters, highlight a significant shift in political alignment and coalitions.
- Critiques of polling methodologies reveal consistent inaccuracies in predicting Trump's support, necessitating a reevaluation of voter engagement strategies by both parties.
Deep dives
The Dynamics of the 2024 Election
The 2024 election revealed surprising dynamics, particularly in Trump's performance despite polling inaccuracies. Historically, Trump has consistently outperformed poll predictions, and this election continued that trend with unexpected victories in previously Democratic-leaning areas. The emergence of a more working-class Republican Party, characterized by increased support from voters without college degrees, played a significant role in this realignment. For instance, Trump won Star County, Texas, a largely Hispanic area, marking a notable shift in voting patterns where Republicans had not won for decades.
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