In Moscow's Shadows 153: Geopolitics, Nepotism, Terror and Assassination... (all the nice things)
Jun 30, 2024
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Exploring the Kremlin's desires in the Trump-Biden debate, rise of nepotism in Russian politics, recent terror attacks in Dagestan, and the potential for covert ops in the region. Delving into the challenges faced by Russian authorities and the implications for national security. Also, discussing the importance of fostering closer ties with communities in Russia post-Putin era.
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Quick takeaways
Russian preference for US chaos over Biden win, nepotism in Russian politics, concerns over Russian security forces in Dagestan
Deep dives
Russian Interpretation of Trump-Biden Debate
Russian state TV found entertainment in the Trump-Biden debate, describing it as a reality show about pensioners. While preferring chaos in the US, some Russians oddly worry about Biden's poor performance early in the race. The dream scenario for Russia envisions a narrow Trump victory leading to post-election chaos, with concerns that a credible Democratic candidate could replace Biden.
Emergence of Nepotism in Russian Politics
A trend of powerful Russians appointing family members to senior positions is evident, reflecting a dynastic approach to securing power and wealth. Examples include sons of influential figures like Dimitri Patrushev, Boris Kovalchuk, and Anna Tzivileva in key roles, showcasing a shift towards family control in politics and business.
Geopolitical Impact of Russian Terrorism
Recent terrorist attacks in Dagestan raise concerns about overstretch within Russian security forces, especially amidst ongoing conflicts. While external factors like Ukraine influence resource allocation, internal vulnerabilities suggest a need to address pressures on the National Guard and counterterrorism efforts.
Deliberations on Covert Operations in Russia
Discussion revolves around the Congress of People's Deputies' proposal for Western involvement in assassinations and destabilization as a means to topple Putin's regime. The debate emphasizes the complexities and implications of covert actions, highlighting the risks of blowback and the importance of strategic goals for Western engagements.
Strategies for Engaging with Russian Communities
Addressing marginalized communities and messaging positive narratives is crucial in countering radicalization and promoting understanding. Information operations, including truth dissemination and tailored outreach, can effectively engage diverse communities, fostering connections for post-Putin Russia and fostering mutual benefits for relations.
Tickets for the 9 July book event in London I mention are available at https://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/russias-future-with-mark-galeotti-anna-arutunyan-hatchards-piccadilly-tickets-924326253707?aff=oddtdtcreator
The podcast's corporate partner and sponsor is Conducttr, which provides software for innovative and immersive crisis exercises in hybrid warfare, counter-terrorism, civil affairs and similar situations.
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