Ep315 - Mark Blyth | Austerity: The History of a Dangerous Idea
Jan 27, 2023
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Mark Blyth, a political economist, challenges the notion of austerity as a solution, highlighting its negative impact on economic growth. He discusses the origins of the financial crisis, European banks' risky behavior, historical perspectives on debt, and alternative economic strategies in countries like Ireland and Iceland.
Austerity shifts private debt to the public, burdening taxpayers while failing to stimulate economic growth.
Historical economic theories influence current austerity debates, emphasizing the impact of redistribution on democracy.
Germany's unique economic model challenges the effectiveness of imposing austerity measures across the diverse European Union.
Deep dives
The Dangerous Idea of Austerity
Politicians in Europe and the United States promote austerity as a solution to financial crises, blaming extravagant government spending for economic downturns. Author Mark Blythe challenges this view, highlighting how the debt crisis originated from bailing out and supporting failing banks, shifting private debt to the public and burdening taxpayers. Austerity, a global trend of cutting government spending to revive economies, according to Blythe, is ineffective and counterproductive. Historical evidence shows that simultaneous austerity measures across states lead to economic shrinkage, income inequality, and low growth.
History Lessons on Economic Policies
Tracing back to the 1700s, ideas like liberalism's economic policies emphasizing debt as a free option for states and the importance of competition and savings, have shaped economic thinking. The Great Depression era showed conflicting views on austerity: liquidationism calling for cutting consumption to stimulate investment, while Keynesian approaches emphasized the need for maintaining consumption to drive economic recovery. Lessons from past economic crises highlight the profound impact of redistribution in safeguarding democracy and the detrimental effects of austerity on economic health.
Germany's Distinct Economic Model
Germany's unique economic structure, rooted in developmental state principles since the 19th century, diverges from liberal economic theories. Focused on export competitiveness and state interventions for competition, Germany's approach contrasts with the generalized economic principles of the European Union. Imposing austerity measures based on German economic strategies on a diverse European economy raises fundamental issues of competitiveness and sustainability, challenging the viability of a one-size-fits-all economic model across the EU.
Harvard's Influence on Austerity Economics
Harvard's historical influence on austerity economics, stemming from the Bocconi School of Public Finance in Milan, echoes neoliberal perspectives of disciplining states through supranational bodies like the European Union. Academics like Alberto Alesina, proponents of expansionary austerity, have shaped economic policies promoting austerity measures. However, the podcast emphasizes the detrimental effects of such policies on economic recovery and the need to reconsider the efficacy of austerity measures in addressing financial crises.
Government Spending vs. Mining Boom in Australia
The podcast delves into the contrasting views on how Australia managed to avert the financial crisis. One view attributes Australia's economic stability to government spending during the crisis, while the other emphasizes the role of the mining boom, where commodities were sold to China. By closely examining the impact of China's investments and the real estate market, the podcast suggests that Australia's economic future may be vulnerable if these factors fluctuate.
Brazil's Neo-Developmental Welfare State
The podcast highlights Brazil's successful transition towards a neo-developmental welfare state under the leadership of Lula. By utilizing the Brazilian National Development Bank to support domestic companies in going global, Brazil effectively reduced income inequality and empowered the middle class. This strategy, coupled with programs like Bolsa Familia, shifted the country's economic landscape, enabling the emergence of a stronger middle class and weakening traditional elites.
Author and political economist Mark Blyth visits Google to discuss his book “Austerity: The History of a Dangerous Idea.” Politicians in both Europe and the United States have succeeded in casting government spending as reckless wastefulness that makes the economy worse. As a remedy, they have advanced a policy of draconian budget cuts--austerity--to solve the many financial crises of the early 21st century. Pro-austerity voices tell us that we have all lived beyond our means and now need to tighten our belts. But according to author Mark Blyth, this view conveniently forgets where all of that debt came from. Not from government spending, but as the direct result of bailing out, recapitalizing, and adding liquidity to the collapsing banking system. Through these actions private debt was remade into government debt, while those responsible for causing the crisis walked away scot free, placing the blame on the state, and the burden on the taxpayer. That burden now takes the form of a global turn to austerity, the policy of reducing government spending to restore competitiveness and balance the budget. The problem, according to Blyth, is that austerity is a very dangerous idea that he claims does not work. As the past four years and countless historical examples from the last 100 years show, while it makes sense for any one state to try and cut its way to growth, it simply cannot work when all states try it simultaneously: all we do is shrink the economy. In the worst case, austerity policies worsened the Great Depression and created the conditions for seizures of power by the forces responsible for the Second World War. Blyth argues that the arguments for austerity are tenuous and the evidence thin. Rather than expanding growth and opportunity, austerity has almost always led to low growth along with increases in income inequality. With his book, Blyth challenges conventional wisdom by marshaling an army of facts to demand that we recognize austerity for what it is, and what it costs us. Originally published in June of 2013.