The Big Five Podcast It’s a special election kickoff edition of The Big Five!
10 snips
Mar 24, 2025 
Elias Makos speaks with Jonathan Kalles, a VP at McMillan Vantage and former advisor to Justin Trudeau, and Dimitri Soudas, former communications director for Stephen Harper. They dive into the dynamic Canadian election landscape, discussing the surge in Liberal support, particularly in Ontario, and the strategic tax cuts that candidates are promising. The impact of tariffs on the economy and voter behavior is also examined, alongside a look at Mark Carney’s unique election strategy in Nepean. It’s a lively discussion on the stakes and uncertainties of the upcoming vote!
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Poll Volatility
- Predicting election outcomes based on early polls is unreliable.
- Polls have shifted dramatically, and campaigns significantly influence final results.
Past Election Upsets
- Kim Campbell was predicted to beat Jean Chrétien, but lost.
- Similarly, John Turner and Paul Martin were expected to win but faced unexpected defeats.
Momentum vs. Polls
- While polls favor Mark Carney, Pierre Poilievre's campaign events draw larger crowds.
- This suggests Poilievre might have more momentum despite trailing in polls.